Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Spezza wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Brent shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Brent 50.7% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 82.5%
Defensive zone
Brent 51.6%
Neutral zone
Spezza 66.2%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Spezza
Brent
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
8
(21 meetings)
13
8
Spezza
Brent
Last 10: Spezza 6-4 Brent
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
7
3
Spezza
Brent
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Spezza
Brent
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
1
Spezza
Brent
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Brent
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
50.2% (1,234)
+4.2%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
58.2% (91)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
51.7% (267)
+1.0%
On even strength, Spezza has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brent shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Spezza shoots right. Brent is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Spezza
Brent
Home
56.8% (5,066)
51.6% (779)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
50.0% (820)
By Period
Spezza
Brent
P1
55.7%
54.2%
P2
54.4%
49.3%
P3
54.1%
48.8%
OT
51.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Brent
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2012 | 3 | 06:48 | Offensive | Tim Brent |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Tim Brent |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 1 | 14:43 | Defensive | Tim Brent |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 3 | 10:29 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 2 | 13:38 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 07:25 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 2 | 02:02 | Neutral | Tim Brent |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 1 | 11:26 | Defensive | Tim Brent |
| Feb 19, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 3 | 14:36 | Offensive | Tim Brent |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 1 | 09:49 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Tim Brent |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 1 | 14:12 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 2, 2010 | 3 | 05:15 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 2, 2010 | 2 | 15:46 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 2, 2010 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Tim Brent |
| Nov 2, 2010 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |