Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.3% vs Zajac 55.3% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 65.3%
Defensive zone
Zajac 63.4%
Neutral zone
Spezza 50.2%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Spezza
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Spezza
Zajac
Last 10: Spezza 4-6 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
2
Spezza
Zajac
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Spezza
Zajac
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
2
Spezza
Zajac
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,283)
57.8% (161)
-4.0%
Power Play
52.8% (303)
55.0% (20)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (89)
52.9% (17)
-3.5%
On even strength, Zajac has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Spezza is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Spezza shoots right. Zajac is 58.0% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Home / Away
Spezza
Zajac
Home
56.4% (853)
59.1% (127)
Away
50.5% (847)
55.8% (77)
By Period
Spezza
Zajac
P1
53.4%
59.7%
P2
54.2%
56.7%
P3
53.4%
56.7%
OT
44.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.7%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 05:44 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 00:08 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 14:18 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 07:16 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 03:26 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 00:09 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 3 | 14:25 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 3 | 03:53 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 3 | 01:56 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |