Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.7% vs 54.3%). Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 28 meetings). Spezza wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Zajac 54.2% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 38-33 in 71 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 66.9%
Defensive zone
Zajac 69.8%
Neutral zone
Zajac 53.0%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Spezza
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
38
-
33
(71 meetings)
38
33
Spezza
Zajac
Last 10: Spezza 7-3 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
16
12
Spezza
Zajac
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
12
14
Spezza
Zajac
26 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
10
7
Spezza
Zajac
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
54.4% (9,056)
+0.0%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
59.1% (1,498)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
48.6% (1,599)
+4.1%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Spezza shoots right. Zajac is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,011).
Home / Away
Spezza
Zajac
Home
56.8% (5,066)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Spezza
Zajac
P1
55.7%
53.8%
P2
54.4%
55.6%
P3
54.1%
53.6%
OT
51.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
54.2%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 08:43 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 3 | 04:05 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 1 | 13:29 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 10:21 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 11:20 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 3 | 16:39 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 3 | 06:28 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 3 | 01:52 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 2 | 08:17 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 1 | 18:36 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 4, 2016 | 2 | 10:17 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 09:35 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 24, 2014 | OT | 02:33 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 24, 2014 | OT | 00:43 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 3 | 03:29 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 2 | 11:40 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |