Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Johnson 53.6% (-7.9%)
Offensive zone
Spezza 56.8%
Defensive zone
Spezza 59.7%
Neutral zone
Spezza 52.4%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Spezza
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
61.9% (42)
-8.2%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
55.6% (9)
-1.3%
On even strength, Johnson has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Spezza is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Spezza shoots right. Johnson is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (17).
Home / Away
Spezza
Johnson
Home
55.0% (282)
52.0% (25)
Away
50.8% (295)
69.2% (26)
By Period
Spezza
Johnson
P1
53.1%
72.0%
P2
53.2%
66.7%
P3
52.3%
27.3%
Final 5 min
56.7%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%