Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 58.2% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 57.3% vs Rask 47.9% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 83.9%
Defensive zone
Spezza 81.8%
Neutral zone
Spezza 71.4%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Spezza
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Spezza
Rask
Last 7: Spezza 6-1 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
0
Spezza
Rask
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Rask
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
1
Spezza
Rask
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (697)
46.6% (397)
+11.4%
Power Play
60.0% (105)
58.1% (31)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
50.0% (2)
+10.0%
On even strength, Spezza has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Spezza is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Spezza shoots right. Rask is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Spezza
Rask
Home
58.2% (376)
50.0% (202)
Away
58.2% (431)
45.2% (228)
By Period
Spezza
Rask
P1
63.3%
51.1%
P2
54.9%
43.2%
P3
57.4%
48.5%
Final 5 min
57.1%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
58.2%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2019 | 2 | 01:59 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 1 | 12:16 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 07:17 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 2 | 14:29 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 2 | 04:33 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 1 | 10:41 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |