Jason Spezza vs Zemgus Girgensons
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Girgensons 45.3% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 87.1%
Defensive zone
Spezza 55.0%
Neutral zone
Spezza 69.5%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Spezza
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Spezza
Girgensons
Last 10: Spezza 6-4 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Girgensons
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
2
3
Spezza
Girgensons
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
5
3
Spezza
Girgensons
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
45.4% (2,700)
+9.0%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
49.1% (175)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
42.2% (481)
+10.5%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Girgensons is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,295).
Home / Away
Spezza
Girgensons
Home
56.8% (5,066)
45.3% (1,673)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
45.0% (1,683)
By Period
Spezza
Girgensons
P1
55.7%
45.7%
P2
54.4%
44.1%
P3
54.1%
45.5%
OT
51.5%
52.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 17:42 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 14:06 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 3 | 19:50 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 3 | 04:17 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 2 | 17:55 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 2 | 01:29 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 1 | 12:34 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 2 | 07:48 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 05:53 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 07:00 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 12:42 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 03:05 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 1 | 19:10 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |