Jason Spezza vs Zemgus Girgensons
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Girgensons 49.9% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 78.0%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 71.2%
Neutral zone
Spezza 51.3%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Spezza
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Spezza
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Girgensons
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
49.0% (210)
+4.7%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
63.6% (22)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
47.3% (55)
-9.1%
On power play, Girgensons has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Spezza shoots right. Girgensons is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Spezza
Girgensons
Home
55.0% (282)
52.1% (142)
Away
50.8% (295)
47.6% (145)
By Period
Spezza
Girgensons
P1
53.1%
54.3%
P2
53.2%
49.1%
P3
52.3%
44.8%
Final 5 min
56.7%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 17:42 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 14:06 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |