Jason Spezza vs Zemgus Girgensons
2013-14 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Girgensons on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.7% vs Girgensons 44.1% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 73.4%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 60.6%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 51.8%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Spezza
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Spezza
Girgensons
Last 6: Spezza 3-3 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Spezza
Girgensons
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
1
2
Spezza
Girgensons
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Girgensons
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (1,097)
42.5% (181)
+11.4%
Power Play
54.8% (250)
62.5% (8)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (89)
35.3% (51)
+17.5%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,020).
Spezza shoots right. Girgensons is 30.8% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Spezza
Girgensons
Home
55.8% (695)
43.1% (144)
Away
52.2% (741)
39.6% (96)
By Period
Spezza
Girgensons
P1
50.3%
39.2%
P2
54.7%
42.5%
P3
56.0%
44.0%
OT
73.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 05:53 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 07:00 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 12:42 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 03:05 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 1 | 19:10 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |