Jason Zucker vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Zucker wins 36.8% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zucker 37.7% vs Backlund 49.0% (-14.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zucker 93.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 60.2%
Neutral zone
Zucker 80.5%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Zucker
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Zucker
Backlund
Last 6: Zucker 1-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zucker
1
0
Zucker
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
5
Zucker
Backlund
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zucker
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
33.5% (200)
49.7% (13,410)
-16.2%
Power Play
36.4% (173)
51.6% (1,336)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
44.0% (2,446)
-44.0%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Zucker is 36.8% vs left-shot opponents (231).
Zucker shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Home / Away
Zucker
Backlund
Home
36.3% (190)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
32.6% (187)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
Zucker
Backlund
P1
39.0%
48.5%
P2
26.8%
50.3%
P3
38.2%
48.4%
OT
0.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
30.3%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zucker
42.0%▲
37.0%
34.5%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:02 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 03:45 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 02:28 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 10:40 | Offensive | Jason Zucker |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 01:26 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |