Jasper Weatherby vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Weatherby 50.6% vs Pageau 54.8% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Weatherby 81.0%
Defensive zone
Weatherby 65.1%
Neutral zone
Weatherby 62.3%
Result
Jasper Weatherby favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Weatherby
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Weatherby
Pageau
Last 6: Weatherby 2-4 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
2
Weatherby
Pageau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Weatherby
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Weatherby
1
0
Weatherby
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Weatherby
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (325)
55.7% (9,486)
-4.9%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
57.0% (1,002)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
49.6% (2,069)
+7.5%
On power play, Pageau has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Weatherby is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Weatherby shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,837).
Home / Away
Weatherby
Pageau
Home
49.1% (171)
56.3% (6,214)
Away
52.4% (170)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
Weatherby
Pageau
P1
44.9%
54.6%
P2
53.0%
56.3%
P3
54.7%
53.5%
Final 5 min
51.4%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Weatherby
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.7%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 08:32 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 02:29 | Neutral | Jasper Weatherby |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 11:04 | Offensive | Jasper Weatherby |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 03:23 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |