Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Weatherby 50.6% vs Staal 56.8% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Weatherby 69.6%
Defensive zone
Weatherby 70.5%
Neutral zone
Weatherby 70.0%
Result
Jasper Weatherby favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Weatherby
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Weatherby
Staal
Last 9: Weatherby 2-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
3
Weatherby
Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Weatherby
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Weatherby
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Weatherby
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (325)
58.9% (1,041)
-8.1%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
53.4% (73)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
49.1% (171)
+8.0%
On power play, Staal has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Weatherby is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (214).
Weatherby shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Weatherby
Staal
Home
49.1% (171)
59.0% (578)
Away
52.4% (170)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Weatherby
Staal
P1
44.9%
57.1%
P2
53.0%
60.9%
P3
54.7%
55.8%
Final 5 min
51.4%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Weatherby
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.7%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 14:26 | Offensive | Jasper Weatherby |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 11:10 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 07:30 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 07:23 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 1 | 09:22 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 1 | 02:15 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 1 | 00:19 | Offensive | Jasper Weatherby |