Scouting Report
Jasper Weatherby holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Weatherby on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Weatherby 50.6% vs Roy 48.9% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Weatherby 58.9%
Defensive zone
Weatherby 53.9%
Neutral zone
Weatherby 51.5%
Result
Jasper Weatherby favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Weatherby
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Weatherby
Roy
Last 5: Weatherby 3-2 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Weatherby
3
2
Weatherby
Roy
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Weatherby
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (325)
49.5% (746)
+1.3%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
50.7% (75)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
42.7% (110)
+14.4%
On penalty kill, Weatherby has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Weatherby is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Weatherby shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Weatherby
Roy
Home
49.1% (171)
47.7% (491)
Away
52.4% (170)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Weatherby
Roy
P1
44.9%
51.1%
P2
53.0%
44.6%
P3
54.7%
50.9%
Final 5 min
51.4%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Weatherby
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.7%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 12:07 | Neutral | Jasper Weatherby |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 11:48 | Neutral | Jasper Weatherby |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 02:50 | Neutral | Jasper Weatherby |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 04:45 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 14:03 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |