Scouting Report
Jasper Weatherby holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Weatherby on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Weatherby 50.6% vs Bozak 46.2% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Weatherby leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Weatherby 79.9%
Defensive zone
Weatherby 62.1%
Neutral zone
Weatherby 56.2%
Result
Jasper Weatherby favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Weatherby
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Weatherby
Bozak
Last 10: Weatherby 6-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Weatherby
3
2
Weatherby
Bozak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Weatherby
3
0
Weatherby
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Weatherby
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Weatherby
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (325)
46.7% (338)
+4.1%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
50.0% (6)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
32.6% (43)
+24.5%
On penalty kill, Weatherby has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Weatherby is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Weatherby shoots left. Bozak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Weatherby
Bozak
Home
49.1% (171)
47.9% (194)
Away
52.4% (170)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Weatherby
Bozak
P1
44.9%
40.2%
P2
53.0%
51.4%
P3
54.7%
43.1%
Final 5 min
51.4%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Weatherby
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.7%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 08:16 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Jasper Weatherby |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 18:07 | Offensive | Jasper Weatherby |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 02:36 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 02:20 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 12:42 | Defensive | Jasper Weatherby |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 04:49 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 01:50 | Defensive | Jasper Weatherby |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 13:57 | Neutral | Jasper Weatherby |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 04:48 | Offensive | Jasper Weatherby |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 04:44 | Offensive | Jasper Weatherby |