Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 44.1% vs Beagle 51.4% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 89.3%
Defensive zone
Shaw 68.0%
Neutral zone
Shaw 75.0%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Shaw
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Shaw
Beagle
Last 5: Shaw 0-5 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
3
Shaw
Beagle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
2
Shaw
Beagle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (636)
51.2% (514)
-7.3%
Power Play
32.4% (37)
38.9% (18)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
63.4% (41)
-17.9%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Shaw is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (215).
Shaw shoots right. Beagle is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Shaw
Beagle
Home
46.3% (363)
57.1% (280)
Away
39.9% (321)
46.4% (293)
By Period
Shaw
Beagle
P1
47.4%
46.5%
P2
43.0%
56.3%
P3
40.0%
52.0%
Final 5 min
39.8%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.3%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2014 | 3 | 17:05 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 3 | 16:56 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 3 | 12:29 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 1 | 12:08 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |