Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (94% H2H, 17 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Beagle 56.7% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 20-11 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 86.8%
Defensive zone
Beagle 52.5%
Neutral zone
Matthews 58.9%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Matthews
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
20
(31 meetings)
11
20
Matthews
Beagle
Last 10: Matthews 6-4 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
9
2
Matthews
Beagle
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
16
Matthews
Beagle
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
2
Matthews
Beagle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
57.5% (4,994)
-3.5%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
60.5% (119)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
54.2% (1,554)
-4.4%
On power play, Beagle has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Matthews is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,705).
Matthews shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Home / Away
Matthews
Beagle
Home
56.3% (5,065)
59.1% (3,228)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
54.5% (3,443)
By Period
Matthews
Beagle
P1
55.5%
57.4%
P2
53.3%
57.1%
P3
52.8%
56.2%
OT
56.6%
41.3%
Final 5 min
54.1%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2021 | 3 | 09:16 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 09:46 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 03:46 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 03:39 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 1 | 11:09 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 1 | 03:19 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 02:09 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 18:36 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 03:27 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 6, 2019 | 3 | 18:44 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 6, 2019 | 3 | 00:52 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 6, 2019 | 1 | 18:14 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 6, 2019 | 1 | 06:36 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 2 | 06:27 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 01:23 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |