Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.3% vs Beagle 57.7% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 94.5%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 69.6%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 78.7%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 81.6%
81.6%
18.4%
Dvorak
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Dvorak
Beagle
Last 7: Dvorak 0-7 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
3
Dvorak
Beagle
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
3
Dvorak
Beagle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
1
Dvorak
Beagle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (943)
60.3% (735)
-9.1%
Power Play
51.6% (122)
42.9% (7)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (74)
53.9% (256)
-1.2%
On even strength, Beagle has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Dvorak is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (418).
Dvorak shoots left. Beagle is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Beagle
Home
53.9% (523)
61.9% (475)
Away
49.2% (616)
55.4% (523)
By Period
Dvorak
Beagle
P1
56.7%
60.5%
P2
50.0%
54.4%
P3
46.7%
61.3%
OT
83.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.2%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2017 | 3 | 10:48 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 3 | 07:07 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 2 | 14:57 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 2 | 12:44 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 2 | 06:19 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 1 | 06:42 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 1 | 03:21 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |