Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nielsen wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 45.6% vs Beagle 55.2% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 81.3%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 72.5%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 73.7%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Nielsen
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Nielsen
Beagle
Last 6: Nielsen 1-5 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
3
Nielsen
Beagle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
2
Nielsen
Beagle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (906)
60.7% (173)
-15.1%
Power Play
62.2% (45)
25.0% (4)
+37.2%
Penalty Kill
39.6% (192)
44.1% (34)
-4.5%
On power play, Nielsen has a +37.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Nielsen is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (373).
Nielsen shoots left. Beagle is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Beagle
Home
45.6% (581)
58.3% (115)
Away
44.9% (575)
57.0% (100)
By Period
Nielsen
Beagle
P1
47.0%
57.1%
P2
44.0%
55.6%
P3
44.9%
62.1%
OT
42.9%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.6%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2012 | OT | 02:12 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 13, 2012 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 2 | 19:07 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 2 | 13:05 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 19:55 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 2 | 16:53 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |