Jay Beagle vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Beagle wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.9% vs Pageau 55.0% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 61.8%
Defensive zone
Beagle 63.8%
Neutral zone
Pageau 52.7%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Beagle
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Beagle
Pageau
Last 5: Beagle 3-2 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beagle
Pageau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beagle
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (353)
55.8% (1,000)
+1.4%
Power Play
87.5% (16)
56.6% (182)
+30.9%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (95)
51.2% (170)
+0.4%
On power play, Beagle has a +30.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Beagle is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Beagle shoots right. Pageau is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Beagle
Pageau
Home
62.0% (200)
57.1% (674)
Away
53.4% (264)
53.5% (678)
By Period
Beagle
Pageau
P1
55.8%
56.9%
P2
60.1%
54.5%
P3
54.5%
54.7%
OT
62.5%
52.9%
Final 5 min
63.6%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.1%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 11:04 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 11:12 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |