Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Beagle wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.2% vs Tavares 51.2% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 85.3%
Defensive zone
Beagle 64.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 57.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Beagle
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Beagle
Tavares
Last 6: Beagle 2-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Beagle
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
0
Beagle
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Beagle
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
60.7% (173)
51.5% (1,232)
+9.2%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
51.1% (305)
-26.1%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (34)
36.7% (30)
+7.4%
On power play, Tavares has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Beagle is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (145).
Beagle shoots right. Tavares is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
Beagle
Tavares
Home
58.3% (115)
52.8% (781)
Away
57.0% (100)
49.9% (804)
By Period
Beagle
Tavares
P1
57.1%
52.8%
P2
55.6%
52.1%
P3
62.1%
48.7%
OT
42.9%
63.6%
Final 5 min
53.8%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.7%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 16:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 16:24 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 1 | 06:14 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |