Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 58 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Tavares 54.4% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 63-48 in 111 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 76.8%
Defensive zone
Beagle 91.8%
Neutral zone
Beagle 63.0%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Beagle
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
63
-
48
(111 meetings)
63
48
Beagle
Tavares
Last 10: Beagle 8-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
25
Beagle
Tavares
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
49
9
Beagle
Tavares
58 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
11
14
Beagle
Tavares
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
54.0% (16,108)
+3.5%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
56.5% (4,283)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
50.6% (620)
+3.6%
On power play, Beagle has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Home / Away
Beagle
Tavares
Home
59.1% (3,228)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Beagle
Tavares
P1
57.4%
55.0%
P2
57.1%
54.1%
P3
56.2%
54.1%
OT
41.3%
55.9%
Final 5 min
56.3%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 06:13 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 14:58 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 12:35 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 09:59 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 1 | 15:52 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 2 | 12:02 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 2 | 06:13 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 1 | 05:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 2 | 11:20 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 1 | 12:49 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 1 | 09:25 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 1 | 06:24 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 1 | 04:00 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 11:44 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 11:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 07:36 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 07:25 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 11:51 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |