Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Beagle wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.0% vs Tavares 49.4% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 66.7%
Defensive zone
Beagle 93.9%
Neutral zone
Beagle 70.6%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Beagle
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Beagle
Tavares
Last 7: Beagle 5-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Beagle
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
5
0
Beagle
Tavares
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (318)
48.6% (716)
+7.1%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
52.4% (208)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (115)
33.3% (6)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Beagle is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Beagle shoots right. Tavares is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Beagle
Tavares
Home
58.0% (226)
50.7% (448)
Away
54.1% (218)
48.1% (482)
By Period
Beagle
Tavares
P1
54.7%
52.8%
P2
57.7%
51.4%
P3
56.1%
43.7%
OT
0.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
50.9%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 14:15 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 13:05 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 14:23 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |