Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Beagle wins 61.9% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 58.0% vs Tavares 54.9% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 91.4%
Defensive zone
Beagle 91.3%
Neutral zone
Beagle 56.0%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Beagle
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Beagle
Tavares
Last 7: Beagle 5-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Beagle
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
4
0
Beagle
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (458)
54.8% (861)
+4.2%
Power Play
84.2% (19)
57.5% (226)
+26.7%
Penalty Kill
57.2% (201)
51.7% (29)
+5.5%
On power play, Beagle has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Beagle is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Beagle shoots right. Tavares is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Home / Away
Beagle
Tavares
Home
62.7% (306)
58.1% (559)
Away
56.2% (372)
52.4% (557)
By Period
Beagle
Tavares
P1
64.5%
57.6%
P2
56.7%
55.5%
P3
56.2%
52.0%
Final 5 min
62.8%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
59.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 11:44 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 11:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 07:36 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 07:25 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 11:51 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 09:40 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |