Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.2% vs 55.3%). Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Beagle wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 54.7% vs Tavares 54.7% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 82.1%
Defensive zone
Beagle 84.4%
Neutral zone
Beagle 53.5%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Beagle
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Beagle
Tavares
Last 10: Beagle 8-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Beagle
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
8
1
Beagle
Tavares
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Beagle
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (212)
54.5% (692)
+4.5%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
59.1% (149)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (94)
54.5% (11)
-4.5%
On power play, Tavares has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Beagle is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (214).
Beagle shoots right. Tavares is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Beagle
Tavares
Home
57.9% (171)
57.9% (404)
Away
54.0% (137)
52.9% (448)
By Period
Beagle
Tavares
P1
53.3%
54.2%
P2
61.5%
55.1%
P3
54.1%
56.4%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
41.3%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 06:13 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 14:58 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 12:35 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 09:59 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 1 | 15:52 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 2 | 12:02 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 2 | 06:13 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 1 | 05:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 2 | 11:20 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 1 | 12:49 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 1 | 09:25 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 1 | 06:24 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 1 | 04:00 | Offensive | John Tavares |