Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Beagle wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 54.7% vs Norris 52.1% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 70.7%
Defensive zone
Beagle 87.6%
Neutral zone
Beagle 64.5%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Beagle
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Beagle
Norris
Last 10: Beagle 7-3 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
3
Beagle
Norris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
8
2
Beagle
Norris
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
1
Beagle
Norris
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (212)
53.4% (635)
+5.6%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
50.0% (70)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (94)
26.3% (19)
+23.7%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Beagle is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (214).
Beagle shoots right. Norris is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Beagle
Norris
Home
57.9% (171)
52.7% (366)
Away
54.0% (137)
52.0% (358)
By Period
Beagle
Norris
P1
53.3%
50.4%
P2
61.5%
53.9%
P3
54.1%
52.2%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
41.3%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.2%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 14:11 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 10:08 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 10:53 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 11:48 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 07:57 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 1 | 18:54 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 1 | 09:58 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 1 | 07:03 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 1 | 06:48 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 3 | 13:14 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 2 | 08:47 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 2 | 08:26 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |