Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Norris 52.1% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 75.4%
Defensive zone
Beagle 88.9%
Neutral zone
Beagle 52.4%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Beagle
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
Beagle
Norris
Last 10: Beagle 7-3 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
4
Beagle
Norris
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
8
3
Beagle
Norris
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
2
4
Beagle
Norris
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
52.5% (3,057)
+5.0%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
53.7% (404)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
45.4% (240)
+8.8%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Norris is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,309).
Home / Away
Beagle
Norris
Home
59.1% (3,228)
53.1% (1,856)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
51.2% (1,845)
By Period
Beagle
Norris
P1
57.4%
55.6%
P2
57.1%
51.4%
P3
56.2%
50.1%
OT
41.3%
40.5%
Final 5 min
56.3%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 14:11 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 10:08 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 10:53 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 11:48 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 07:57 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 1 | 18:54 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 1 | 09:58 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 1 | 07:03 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 1 | 06:48 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 3 | 13:14 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 2 | 08:47 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 2 | 08:26 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 18:49 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 18:41 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 19:44 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 12:03 | Offensive | Josh Norris |