Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodziak on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Beagle wins 56.2% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Brodziak 49.7% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Brodziak leads 11-11 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Brodziak 55.9%
Defensive zone
Beagle 56.1%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 51.1%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Beagle
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
11
(22 meetings)
11
11
Beagle
Brodziak
Last 10: Beagle 5-5 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Beagle
Brodziak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
2
5
Beagle
Brodziak
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
7
4
Beagle
Brodziak
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
50.5% (6,432)
+7.0%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
52.8% (326)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
45.5% (1,344)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Beagle is 56.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,004).
Beagle shoots right. Brodziak is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,322).
Home / Away
Beagle
Brodziak
Home
59.1% (3,228)
50.4% (4,044)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
49.0% (4,089)
By Period
Beagle
Brodziak
P1
57.4%
49.2%
P2
57.1%
50.7%
P3
56.2%
49.5%
OT
41.3%
42.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2019 | 3 | 14:57 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 16, 2019 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 16, 2019 | 1 | 02:43 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 19:12 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 04:45 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 18:18 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 12:10 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 09:16 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 09:11 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 2 | 19:54 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 2 | 11:49 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 2 | 01:40 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 3 | 10:55 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 3 | 10:49 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 1 | 02:20 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 3 | 14:41 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 1 | 04:53 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 1 | 04:48 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 16:02 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |