Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Stajan 49.4% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Beagle 60.9%
Defensive zone
Beagle 90.1%
Neutral zone
Beagle 78.8%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
Beagle
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Beagle
Stajan
Last 10: Beagle 6-4 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beagle
Stajan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
1
Beagle
Stajan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
4
2
Beagle
Stajan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
50.2% (4,944)
+7.3%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
43.2% (176)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
46.1% (864)
+8.1%
On power play, Beagle has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Stajan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,026).
Home / Away
Beagle
Stajan
Home
59.1% (3,228)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Beagle
Stajan
P1
57.4%
50.3%
P2
57.1%
48.5%
P3
56.2%
49.4%
OT
41.3%
53.3%
Final 5 min
56.3%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2017 | 2 | 15:54 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 29, 2017 | 1 | 18:39 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 29, 2017 | 1 | 04:38 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 17:25 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 02:17 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 2 | 16:25 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 1 | 05:14 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 3 | 16:14 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |