Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Amadio on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Beagle wins 56.2% vs right-shot opponents — Amadio shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Amadio 47.4% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Amadio leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Amadio 81.1%
Defensive zone
Beagle 82.9%
Neutral zone
Amadio 53.8%
Result
Michael Amadio favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Beagle
Amadio
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Beagle
Amadio
Last 10: Beagle 3-7 Amadio
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Amadio
1
3
Beagle
Amadio
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
1
Beagle
Amadio
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Amadio
4
5
Beagle
Amadio
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Amadio
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
47.3% (1,363)
+10.2%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
50.9% (57)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
34.8% (23)
+19.4%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Amadio shoots right. Beagle is 56.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,004).
Beagle shoots right. Amadio is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Beagle
Amadio
Home
59.1% (3,228)
47.3% (656)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
47.3% (787)
By Period
Beagle
Amadio
P1
57.4%
50.5%
P2
57.1%
44.8%
P3
56.2%
46.7%
Final 5 min
56.3%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2019 | 1 | 19:32 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 2 | 07:28 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 2 | 03:02 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 1 | 18:04 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 1 | 06:08 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 09:29 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 12:30 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 12:22 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 04:20 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 02:46 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 07:52 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |