Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Beagle wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.8% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 56.0%
Defensive zone
Beagle 88.9%
Neutral zone
Beagle 79.7%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Beagle
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Beagle
Zibanejad
Last 10: Beagle 7-3 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
1
Beagle
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
4
0
Beagle
Zibanejad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Beagle
Zibanejad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (799)
52.8% (767)
+4.0%
Power Play
64.7% (17)
62.6% (107)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
54.6% (291)
28.9% (76)
+25.7%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Beagle is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Beagle shoots right. Zibanejad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Beagle
Zibanejad
Home
57.6% (552)
51.0% (500)
Away
55.1% (555)
53.1% (450)
By Period
Beagle
Zibanejad
P1
56.9%
54.2%
P2
59.0%
53.6%
P3
54.0%
49.0%
OT
40.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.4%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2017 | 3 | 14:58 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 5, 2017 | 2 | 14:49 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 3 | 08:22 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 17:24 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 04:43 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 15:39 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 08:32 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 16:32 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |