Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 15 meetings). Beagle wins 56.2% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Zibanejad 49.9% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 21-18 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 59.0%
Defensive zone
Beagle 92.3%
Neutral zone
Beagle 67.0%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Beagle
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
18
(39 meetings)
21
18
Beagle
Zibanejad
Last 10: Beagle 7-3 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
11
Beagle
Zibanejad
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
14
1
Beagle
Zibanejad
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
4
6
Beagle
Zibanejad
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
50.9% (11,719)
+6.6%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
52.2% (1,849)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
41.5% (1,790)
+12.7%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Beagle is 56.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,004).
Beagle shoots right. Zibanejad is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,681).
Home / Away
Beagle
Zibanejad
Home
59.1% (3,228)
51.6% (7,566)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
48.3% (7,793)
By Period
Beagle
Zibanejad
P1
57.4%
50.4%
P2
57.1%
49.7%
P3
56.2%
49.8%
OT
41.3%
48.7%
Final 5 min
56.3%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 09:44 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 09:29 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 04:28 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 2 | 12:59 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 1 | 10:17 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 1 | 06:01 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 13, 2019 | 3 | 04:21 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 13, 2019 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 28, 2018 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 28, 2018 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 28, 2018 | 2 | 14:50 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 28, 2018 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 28, 2018 | 2 | 02:38 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 02:35 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 27, 2017 | OT | 04:35 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 3 | 16:05 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 3 | 02:24 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 12:33 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |