Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Beagle wins 59.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 57.7% vs Zibanejad 50.8% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 92.7%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 75.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 77.8%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 86.3%
13.7%
86.3%
Beagle
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
12
(15 meetings)
3
12
Beagle
Zibanejad
Last 10: Beagle 2-8 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
8
Beagle
Zibanejad
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
1
Beagle
Zibanejad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
3
Beagle
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (735)
52.7% (938)
+7.6%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
49.3% (225)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
53.9% (256)
39.5% (124)
+14.4%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Beagle is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (293).
Beagle shoots right. Zibanejad is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Beagle
Zibanejad
Home
61.9% (475)
54.9% (594)
Away
55.4% (523)
47.3% (693)
By Period
Beagle
Zibanejad
P1
60.5%
50.1%
P2
54.4%
49.0%
P3
61.3%
53.0%
OT
33.3%
52.2%
Final 5 min
60.6%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
58.5%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2018 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 28, 2018 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 28, 2018 | 2 | 14:50 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 28, 2018 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 28, 2018 | 2 | 02:38 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 02:35 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 27, 2017 | OT | 04:35 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 3 | 16:05 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 3 | 02:24 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 12:33 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 1 | 10:56 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 1 | 02:29 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 1 | 02:21 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |