Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Beagle wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 58.0% vs Zibanejad 49.2% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 66.7%
Defensive zone
Beagle 95.0%
Neutral zone
Beagle 79.0%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 82.0%
82.0%
18.0%
Beagle
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Beagle
Zibanejad
Last 6: Beagle 5-1 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Beagle
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
4
0
Beagle
Zibanejad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (458)
48.9% (809)
+10.1%
Power Play
84.2% (19)
53.4% (204)
+30.8%
Penalty Kill
57.2% (201)
45.5% (191)
+11.7%
On power play, Beagle has a +30.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Beagle is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Beagle shoots right. Zibanejad is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Home / Away
Beagle
Zibanejad
Home
62.7% (306)
49.8% (588)
Away
56.2% (372)
48.5% (616)
By Period
Beagle
Zibanejad
P1
64.5%
47.4%
P2
56.7%
50.7%
P3
56.2%
49.0%
Final 5 min
62.8%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
59.1%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 09:44 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 09:29 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 04:28 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 2 | 12:59 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 1 | 10:17 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 1 | 06:01 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |