Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Richards shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Richards 50.5% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 84.9%
Defensive zone
Beagle 71.3%
Neutral zone
Richards 63.5%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Beagle
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Beagle
Richards
Last 6: Beagle 1-5 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
0
2
Beagle
Richards
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Richards
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
0
3
Beagle
Richards
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
50.0% (3,722)
+7.5%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
54.6% (445)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
51.4% (502)
+2.8%
On even strength, Beagle has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Richards is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,577).
Home / Away
Beagle
Richards
Home
59.1% (3,228)
50.8% (2,363)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
50.3% (2,336)
By Period
Beagle
Richards
P1
57.4%
49.6%
P2
57.1%
52.3%
P3
56.2%
49.3%
OT
41.3%
58.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2014 | 3 | 07:00 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 2 | 04:07 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 1 | 09:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 3 | 12:24 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 3 | 07:36 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 1 | 06:29 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |