Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.8% vs Thompson 52.2% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 68.5%
Defensive zone
Beagle 72.0%
Neutral zone
Thompson 55.3%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Beagle
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Beagle
Thompson
Last 8: Beagle 2-6 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Beagle
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beagle
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Beagle
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (799)
56.3% (199)
+0.5%
Power Play
64.7% (17)
66.7% (6)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
54.6% (291)
35.0% (40)
+19.6%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Beagle is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Beagle shoots right. Thompson is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (107).
Home / Away
Beagle
Thompson
Home
57.6% (552)
59.5% (116)
Away
55.1% (555)
47.3% (129)
By Period
Beagle
Thompson
P1
56.9%
47.4%
P2
59.0%
56.2%
P3
54.0%
55.1%
Final 5 min
56.1%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.4%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2017 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 3 | 01:58 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 2 | 18:19 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 2 | 15:14 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 2 | 04:52 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 1 | 15:10 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 1 | 11:14 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 1 | 02:40 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |