Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Beagle wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.9% vs Thompson 54.3% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 50.6%
Defensive zone
Beagle 51.0%
Neutral zone
Thompson 53.3%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Beagle
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Beagle
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Beagle
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (353)
55.5% (236)
+1.7%
Power Play
87.5% (16)
60.0% (5)
+27.5%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (95)
56.5% (46)
-4.9%
On power play, Beagle has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Beagle is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Beagle shoots right. Thompson is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Beagle
Thompson
Home
62.0% (200)
53.1% (128)
Away
53.4% (264)
57.9% (159)
By Period
Beagle
Thompson
P1
55.8%
59.0%
P2
60.1%
55.4%
P3
54.5%
52.6%
Final 5 min
63.6%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.1%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 19:50 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 2 | 12:46 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |