Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Beagle wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 57.7% vs Thompson 55.6% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 65.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 55.4%
Neutral zone
Thompson 52.8%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 63.4%
36.6%
63.4%
Beagle
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Beagle
Thompson
Last 6: Beagle 1-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
5
Beagle
Thompson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (735)
57.7% (482)
+2.6%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
100.0% (2)
-57.1%
Penalty Kill
53.9% (256)
51.9% (154)
+2.0%
On power play, Thompson has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Beagle is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Beagle shoots right. Thompson is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Beagle
Thompson
Home
61.9% (475)
59.0% (327)
Away
55.4% (523)
53.7% (311)
By Period
Beagle
Thompson
P1
60.5%
54.2%
P2
54.4%
61.3%
P3
61.3%
53.9%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
60.6%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
58.5%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 16:54 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 19:55 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 13:52 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 13:48 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |