Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Beagle wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 54.7% vs Thompson 50.3% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 50.3%
Defensive zone
Beagle 73.1%
Neutral zone
Beagle 59.7%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Beagle
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Beagle
Thompson
Last 10: Beagle 6-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
3
Beagle
Thompson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beagle
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
1
Beagle
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (212)
49.6% (230)
+9.4%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (94)
53.8% (52)
-3.8%
On even strength, Beagle has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Beagle is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (214).
Beagle shoots right. Thompson is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Beagle
Thompson
Home
57.9% (171)
52.2% (134)
Away
54.0% (137)
48.7% (150)
By Period
Beagle
Thompson
P1
53.3%
54.5%
P2
61.5%
48.0%
P3
54.1%
48.2%
Final 5 min
41.3%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.2%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 07:00 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 06:50 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 1 | 02:43 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 3 | 19:22 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 3 | 16:30 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 2 | 09:50 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 2 | 03:37 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 1 | 16:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 1 | 11:03 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 19, 2021 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |