Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.0% vs Bergeron 60.9% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 50.9%
Defensive zone
Beagle 79.6%
Neutral zone
Beagle 67.4%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Beagle
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Beagle
Bergeron
Last 10: Beagle 3-7 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Beagle
Bergeron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
3
Beagle
Bergeron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Beagle
Bergeron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (318)
62.6% (660)
-6.9%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
59.8% (97)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (115)
61.4% (127)
-3.1%
On power play, Bergeron has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Beagle is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (131).
Beagle shoots right. Bergeron is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Beagle
Bergeron
Home
58.0% (226)
67.0% (443)
Away
54.1% (218)
57.1% (441)
By Period
Beagle
Bergeron
P1
54.7%
63.7%
P2
57.7%
60.0%
P3
56.1%
63.2%
OT
0.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
50.9%
66.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.1%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
62.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 19:45 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 17:40 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 05:12 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 14:50 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 03:11 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 18:30 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 17:09 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 14:41 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |