Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 27 meetings). Beagle wins 56.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Bergeron 59.2% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 38-28 in 66 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 55.2%
Defensive zone
Beagle 88.2%
Neutral zone
Beagle 70.4%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Beagle
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
38
(66 meetings)
28
38
Beagle
Bergeron
Last 10: Beagle 6-4 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
6
21
Beagle
Bergeron
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
14
9
Beagle
Bergeron
23 total
Neutral Zone
Even
8
8
Beagle
Bergeron
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
60.1% (13,938)
-2.6%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
60.8% (3,213)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
53.0% (2,776)
+1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Beagle is 56.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,004).
Beagle shoots right. Bergeron is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (6,685).
Home / Away
Beagle
Bergeron
Home
59.1% (3,228)
61.2% (10,028)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
57.3% (9,930)
By Period
Beagle
Bergeron
P1
57.4%
59.3%
P2
57.1%
60.0%
P3
56.2%
58.6%
OT
41.3%
57.9%
Final 5 min
56.3%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 05:25 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 16:19 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 15:34 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 06:46 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 07:25 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 06:46 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 05:54 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 05:45 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 14:24 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 3 | 05:04 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 3 | 03:05 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 2 | 16:03 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 2 | 06:43 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 14:50 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 14:41 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 13:36 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 08:54 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 3 | 18:54 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |