Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Beagle wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.0% vs Elias 46.0% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 52.6%
Defensive zone
Beagle 95.8%
Neutral zone
Beagle 83.9%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 77.3%
77.3%
22.7%
Beagle
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Beagle
Elias
Last 7: Beagle 5-2 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
1
2
Beagle
Elias
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
4
0
Beagle
Elias
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (318)
40.0% (100)
+15.7%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
53.1% (49)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (115)
35.7% (14)
+22.6%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Beagle is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Beagle shoots right. Elias is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
Beagle
Elias
Home
58.0% (226)
46.2% (78)
Away
54.1% (218)
41.2% (85)
By Period
Beagle
Elias
P1
54.7%
44.0%
P2
57.7%
50.0%
P3
56.1%
36.4%
OT
0.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
50.9%
36.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.1%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 07:24 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 02:55 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 1 | 13:39 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 2 | 18:15 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 2 | 00:11 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 1 | 17:50 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |