Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Elias 42.7% (+14.3%)
H2H factor
Elias leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Elias 72.1%
Defensive zone
Beagle 89.6%
Neutral zone
Beagle 61.7%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Beagle
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Beagle
Elias
Last 10: Beagle 3-7 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
2
5
Beagle
Elias
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
5
3
Beagle
Elias
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
42.3% (2,591)
+15.2%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
48.4% (405)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
36.0% (367)
+18.2%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Elias is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
Beagle
Elias
Home
59.1% (3,228)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
Beagle
Elias
P1
57.4%
41.1%
P2
57.1%
43.1%
P3
56.2%
43.0%
OT
41.3%
43.2%
Final 5 min
56.3%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2014 | 2 | 19:50 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 2 | 19:40 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 2 | 08:18 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 2 | 05:44 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 1 | 12:46 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 1 | 04:52 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 3 | 14:24 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 1 | 13:42 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 07:24 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 02:55 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 1 | 13:39 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 2 | 18:15 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 2 | 00:11 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 1 | 17:50 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |