Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +17.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.2% vs Elias 40.5% (+17.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 63.2%
Defensive zone
Elias 54.7%
Neutral zone
Elias 63.0%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Beagle
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Beagle
Elias
Last 6: Beagle 2-4 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
1
2
Beagle
Elias
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Elias
1
2
Beagle
Elias
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (284)
39.3% (550)
+18.8%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
50.0% (60)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (97)
27.0% (63)
+25.6%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Beagle is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Beagle shoots right. Elias is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Beagle
Elias
Home
57.9% (183)
39.1% (335)
Away
55.2% (201)
39.1% (338)
By Period
Beagle
Elias
P1
54.7%
39.0%
P2
62.1%
35.4%
P3
50.9%
44.4%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
36.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.5%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
39.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2014 | 2 | 19:50 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 2 | 19:40 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 2 | 08:18 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 2 | 05:44 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 1 | 12:46 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 1 | 04:52 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |