Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 21 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Stastny 55.1% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 31-21 in 52 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 75.1%
Defensive zone
Beagle 90.1%
Neutral zone
Beagle 51.3%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Beagle
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
21
(52 meetings)
31
21
Beagle
Stastny
Last 10: Beagle 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
5
17
Beagle
Stastny
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
19
2
Beagle
Stastny
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
7
2
Beagle
Stastny
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
54.6% (10,616)
+2.9%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
59.1% (1,994)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
52.9% (1,119)
+1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Beagle
Stastny
Home
59.1% (3,228)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Beagle
Stastny
P1
57.4%
56.3%
P2
57.1%
55.4%
P3
56.2%
53.5%
OT
41.3%
62.9%
Final 5 min
56.3%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 10:15 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 02:37 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 14:52 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 3 | 14:38 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 02:56 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 02:07 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 1 | 05:31 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 3 | 14:52 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 3 | 01:18 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 19, 2021 | 2 | 10:18 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 19, 2021 | 1 | 17:17 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 19, 2021 | 1 | 13:41 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 14:40 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 01:11 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 15:48 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 01:39 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |