Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.1% vs 56.6%). Beagle wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.9% vs Stastny 55.4% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 78.0%
Defensive zone
Beagle 76.8%
Neutral zone
Stastny 54.7%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Beagle
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Beagle
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Beagle
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Beagle
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (353)
59.2% (370)
-2.0%
Power Play
87.5% (16)
40.9% (44)
+46.6%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (95)
51.7% (58)
-0.1%
On power play, Beagle has a +46.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Beagle is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Beagle shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Beagle
Stastny
Home
62.0% (200)
57.7% (215)
Away
53.4% (264)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Beagle
Stastny
P1
55.8%
57.7%
P2
60.1%
54.2%
P3
54.5%
57.7%
OT
62.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
63.6%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 10:15 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 02:37 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |