Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.4% vs 55.7%). Look for Beagle on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Beagle wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.8% vs Stastny 55.4% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 71.4%
Defensive zone
Beagle 83.1%
Neutral zone
Stastny 52.5%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Beagle
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Beagle
Stastny
Last 9: Beagle 7-2 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beagle
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
1
Beagle
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
4
0
Beagle
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (799)
55.4% (1,004)
+1.4%
Power Play
64.7% (17)
59.0% (210)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
54.6% (291)
54.1% (196)
+0.5%
On power play, Beagle has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Beagle is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Beagle shoots right. Stastny is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Beagle
Stastny
Home
57.6% (552)
56.5% (717)
Away
55.1% (555)
55.0% (693)
By Period
Beagle
Stastny
P1
56.9%
56.7%
P2
59.0%
57.7%
P3
54.0%
52.1%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
59.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2017 | 3 | 00:06 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 2 | 13:30 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 15:54 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 11:39 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 2 | 02:58 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 2 | 02:41 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |