Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Beagle wins 61.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 58.0% vs Stastny 54.4% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 87.1%
Defensive zone
Beagle 90.4%
Neutral zone
Beagle 66.3%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 79.1%
79.1%
20.9%
Beagle
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Beagle
Stastny
Last 9: Beagle 8-1 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Beagle
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
7
0
Beagle
Stastny
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (458)
53.6% (859)
+5.4%
Power Play
84.2% (19)
59.9% (202)
+24.3%
Penalty Kill
57.2% (201)
55.1% (78)
+2.1%
On power play, Beagle has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Beagle is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Beagle shoots right. Stastny is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Beagle
Stastny
Home
62.7% (306)
56.9% (596)
Away
56.2% (372)
52.5% (543)
By Period
Beagle
Stastny
P1
64.5%
53.9%
P2
56.7%
56.2%
P3
56.2%
54.4%
Final 5 min
62.8%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
59.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 15:48 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 01:39 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 14:37 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |