Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Beagle wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 54.7% vs Stastny 54.0% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 86.2%
Defensive zone
Beagle 85.6%
Neutral zone
Beagle 55.3%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Beagle
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Beagle
Stastny
Last 10: Beagle 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
6
Beagle
Stastny
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
6
0
Beagle
Stastny
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (212)
52.5% (432)
+6.5%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
60.4% (154)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (94)
66.7% (6)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Beagle is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (214).
Beagle shoots right. Stastny is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Beagle
Stastny
Home
57.9% (171)
58.3% (307)
Away
54.0% (137)
50.9% (285)
By Period
Beagle
Stastny
P1
53.3%
57.4%
P2
61.5%
51.7%
P3
54.1%
54.5%
OT
0.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
41.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 14:52 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 3 | 14:38 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 02:56 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 02:07 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 1 | 05:31 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 3 | 14:52 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 3 | 01:18 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 19, 2021 | 2 | 10:18 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 19, 2021 | 1 | 17:17 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 19, 2021 | 1 | 13:41 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 14:40 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 01:11 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |