Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 61.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 58.0% vs Zacha 44.2% (+15.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 58.4%
Defensive zone
Beagle 94.8%
Neutral zone
Beagle 90.3%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 83.2%
83.2%
16.8%
Beagle
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Beagle
Zacha
Last 5: Beagle 5-0 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
0
Beagle
Zacha
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (458)
42.8% (514)
+16.2%
Power Play
84.2% (19)
51.9% (79)
+32.3%
Penalty Kill
57.2% (201)
36.1% (61)
+21.1%
On power play, Beagle has a +32.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Beagle is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Beagle shoots right. Zacha is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Home / Away
Beagle
Zacha
Home
62.7% (306)
45.0% (289)
Away
56.2% (372)
41.9% (365)
By Period
Beagle
Zacha
P1
64.5%
47.4%
P2
56.7%
43.8%
P3
56.2%
37.7%
Final 5 min
62.8%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
59.1%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2019 | 2 | 06:17 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 05:39 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 07:15 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |