Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Zacha 49.1% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Beagle 57.7%
Defensive zone
Beagle 98.1%
Neutral zone
Beagle 92.6%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 87.0%
87.0%
13.0%
Beagle
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Beagle
Zacha
Last 10: Beagle 8-2 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
3
Beagle
Zacha
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
8
1
Beagle
Zacha
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
1
Beagle
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
48.9% (5,102)
+8.6%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
55.6% (804)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
42.2% (555)
+12.0%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,539).
Home / Away
Beagle
Zacha
Home
59.1% (3,228)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
Beagle
Zacha
P1
57.4%
49.9%
P2
57.1%
49.2%
P3
56.2%
48.1%
OT
41.3%
53.1%
Final 5 min
56.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2019 | 2 | 06:17 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 05:39 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 07:15 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 17:13 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 03:05 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 2 | 10:55 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 09:05 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 04:38 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 1 | 18:30 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 1 | 15:30 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 3 | 03:31 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 1 | 16:25 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |