Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Varone on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Varone shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Varone 47.7% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Varone 82.0%
Defensive zone
Beagle 75.6%
Neutral zone
Varone 64.1%
Result
Phil Varone favored at 70.3%
29.7%
70.3%
Beagle
Varone
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Beagle
Varone
Last 8: Beagle 3-5 Varone
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Varone
2
3
Beagle
Varone
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Varone
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Varone
0
2
Beagle
Varone
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Varone
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
47.5% (575)
+10.0%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
38.5% (13)
+22.0%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
50.0% (2)
+4.2%
On power play, Beagle has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Varone shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Varone is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Beagle
Varone
Home
59.1% (3,228)
48.0% (221)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
46.9% (369)
By Period
Beagle
Varone
P1
57.4%
50.0%
P2
57.1%
42.7%
P3
56.2%
50.0%
OT
41.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.3%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2019 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 1 | 08:27 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 14:34 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | Phil Varone |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 17:55 | Offensive | Phil Varone |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 3 | 01:33 | Offensive | Phil Varone |